day 5
Data-Efficient Ensemble Weather Forecasting with Diffusion Models
Valencia, Kevin, Liu, Ziyang, Cui, Justin
Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically autoregressive and are thus computationally expensive. This is a challenge in climate science, where data can be limited, costly, or difficult to work with. In this work, we explore the impact of curated data selection on these autoregressive diffusion models. W e evaluate several data sampling strategies and show that a simple time stratified sampling approach achieves performance similar to or better than full-data training. Notably, it outperforms the full-data model on certain metrics and performs only slightly worse on others while using only 20% of the training data. Our results demonstrate the feasibility of data-efficient diffusion training, especially for weather forecasting, and motivates future work on adaptive or model-aware sampling methods that go beyond random or purely temporal sampling.
A Stock Price Prediction Approach Based on Time Series Decomposition and Multi-Scale CNN using OHLCT Images
Pei, Zhiyuan, Yan, Jianqi, Yan, Jin, Yang, Bailing, Li, Ziyuan, Zhang, Lin, Liu, Xin, Zhang, Yang
Recently, deep learning in stock prediction has become an important branch. Image-based methods show potential by capturing complex visual patterns and spatial correlations, offering advantages in interpretability over time series models. However, image-based approaches are more prone to overfitting, hindering robust predictive performance. To improve accuracy, this paper proposes a novel method, named Sequence-based Multi-scale Fusion Regression Convolutional Neural Network (SMSFR-CNN), for predicting stock price movements in the China A-share market. By utilizing CNN to learn sequential features and combining them with image features, we improve the accuracy of stock trend prediction on the A-share market stock dataset. This approach reduces the search space for image features, stabilizes, and accelerates the training process. Extensive comparative experiments on 4,454 A-share stocks show that the model achieves a 61.15% positive predictive value and a 63.37% negative predictive value for the next 5 days, resulting in a total profit of 165.09%.
Autonomous Apple Fruitlet Sizing and Growth Rate Tracking using Computer Vision
Freeman, Harry, Qadri, Mohamad, Silwal, Abhisesh, O'Connor, Paul, Rubinstein, Zachary, Cooley, Daniel, Kantor, George
In this paper, we present a computer vision-based approach to measure the sizes and growth rates of apple fruitlets. Measuring the growth rates of apple fruitlets is important because it allows apple growers to determine when to apply chemical thinners to their crops in order to optimize yield. The current practice of obtaining growth rates involves using calipers to record sizes of fruitlets across multiple days. Due to the number of fruitlets needed to be sized, this method is laborious, time-consuming, and prone to human error. With images collected by a hand-held stereo camera, our system, segments, clusters, and fits ellipses to fruitlets to measure their diameters. The growth rates are then calculated by temporally associating clustered fruitlets across days. We provide quantitative results on data collected in an apple orchard, and demonstrate that our system is able to predict abscise rates within 3.5% of the current method with a 6 times improvement in speed, while requiring significantly less manual effort. Moreover, we provide results on images captured by a robotic system in the field, and discuss the next steps required to make the process fully autonomous.
- North America > United States > Pennsylvania > Allegheny County > Pittsburgh (0.14)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Hampshire County > Amherst (0.04)
- North America > United States > Michigan (0.04)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Vision (1.00)
- Information Technology > Sensing and Signal Processing > Image Processing (0.93)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Robots (0.91)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (0.46)
AI robot Kashef with today's World Cup 2022 predictions – Day 5
Kashef has not had the best few days in the office. Unfortunately for our artificial intelligence (AI) predictor, the adrenaline-fuelled, high-octane football being played in the opening set of fixtures has resulted in several major upsets. The good news for us sentient beings is that every time Kashef has got it wrong, we have been treated to a veritable feast of World Cup magic. Just take Saudi Arabia's historic victory over Argentina as a case in point. Today, Kashef has processed the historical data and performances of all the teams who are in action to predict the results of each game.
- South America > Argentina (0.31)
- Asia > Middle East > Saudi Arabia (0.31)
- South America > Brazil (0.11)
- (7 more...)
Machine learning-based dynamic mortality prediction after traumatic brain injury
Our aim was to create simple and largely scalable machine learning-based algorithms that could predict mortality in a real-time fashion during intensive care after traumatic brain injury. We performed an observational multicenter study including adult TBI patients that were monitored for intracranial pressure (ICP) for at least 24 h in three ICUs. We used machine learning-based logistic regression modeling to create two algorithms (based on ICP, mean arterial pressure [MAP], cerebral perfusion pressure [CPP] and Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS]) to predict 30-day mortality. We used a stratified cross-validation technique for internal validation. Of 472 included patients, 92 patients (19%) died within 30 days.